Active Situations — full deal intelligence, regulatory tracking, and CTFN analysis from $499/mo.

Active Situations

Live M&A situations — structured intelligence, regulatory timelines, and CTFN editorial analysis.

13 situations
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OngoingIndustrials

Axalta Coating Systems / AkzoNobel

AXTA / AKZA:NA

CMA comment period ends May 1; EC formal filing pending (Phase 2 probe likely on powder coatings). Shareholder votes targeted for mid-July. All-stock merger of equals creating #2 global coatings company behind Sherwin-Williams.

Equity value
$9.1bn
Premium
0%
Est. close Dec 31, 2026$36.63 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingEnergy

Essential Utilities / American Water Works

WTRG / AWK

Both shareholder bases approved February 10, 2026. Pennsylvania PUC is the central review — parties seeking Q3 2026 conclusion. 10+ state utility commissions require approval.

Equity value
$12.2bn
Premium
10%
Est. close Mar 31, 2027$43.18 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingEnergy

TXNM Energy / Blackstone

TXNM / BX

NMPRC hearing examiner investigation into Blackstone's $400mn PIPE paused the procedural schedule. Public hearing on PIPE set for April 30. PUCT approved February 6; FERC authorized February 20.

Equity value
$5.7bn
Premium
28%
Est. close Sep 30, 2026$61.25 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingHealthcare

Penumbra / Boston Scientific

PEN / BSX

$14.6bn strategic medtech combination in vascular intervention. FTC second request pending; EC review required.

Equity value
$14.6bn
Premium
19%
Est. close Nov 15, 2026$374.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingEnergy

AES Corporation / Global Infrastructure Partners / EQT / CalPERS / QIA

AES / GIP

Multi-jurisdictional regulatory review underway. Merger special meeting not yet scheduled. PUCO data center backlash, Indiana politics, and CFIUS (QIA involvement) are the key state-level risks.

Equity value
$10.7bn
Premium
36%
Est. close Mar 31, 2027$15.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingTechnology

SkyWater Technology / IonQ

SKYT / IONQ

HSR pulled and refiled March 25; waiting period now expires April 24. Shareholder vote May 8. Cash-and-stock deal with collar mechanism on IonQ shares.

Equity value
$1.4bn
Premium
38%
Est. close Aug 15, 2026$35.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingConsumer

Kenvue / Kimberly-Clark

KVUE / KMB

Shareholders overwhelmingly approved (96-99%). FTC second request is the primary gating item. Divestitures likely in feminine hygiene (NZ/AU already proposed). KMB announced post-closing org structure April 15.

Equity value
$40.0bn
Premium
46%
Est. close Oct 15, 2026$21.01 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingTechnology

Clearwater Analytics / Permira / Warburg Pincus

CWAN

Shareholder vote May 6; EC Phase I clearance expected same day. Go-shop contacted 44 bidders — none submitted competing bid. Multiple plaintiff firms investigating conflicts of interest given buyers' insider status.

Equity value
$7.0bn
Premium
47%
Est. close Jun 30, 2026$24.55 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingTechnology

Electronic Arts / PIF / Silver Lake / Affinity Partners

EA

Largest take-private in gaming history. CFIUS review and EC FSR Phase II risk are the remaining timing variables.

Equity value
$52.4bn
Premium
25%
Est. close Jun 30, 2026$210.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingTechnology

Qorvo / Skyworks Solutions

QRVO / SWKS

Negotiating with primary regulators in the US (FTC) and China (SAMR). FTC second request received February 5. Merger agreement runs two years. Starboard Value (8% of QRVO) signed a voting agreement in support.

Equity value
$9.7bn
Premium
14%
Est. close Jan 15, 2027$32.50 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingTechnology

Silicon Labs / Texas Instruments

SLAB / TXN

HSR cleared April 20 (waiting period expired, no second request). SAMR approval required — China known for slow-walking US semiconductor deals. Shareholder vote scheduled April 30.

Equity value
$7.6bn
Premium
69%
Est. close Jan 15, 2027$231.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingIndustrials

Norfolk Southern / Union Pacific

NSC / UNP

First transcontinental Class I rail merger tested under the STB's 2001 enhanced-competition standard. HSR-style document submission to DOJ/STB due April 7; application refiling on April 30. BNSF and industry groups organizing opposition.

Equity value
$71.9bn
Premium
25%
Est. close Jun 30, 2027$320.00 / sh
🔒 Pro
OngoingMedia & Telecom

Warner Bros. Discovery / Paramount Skydance

WBD / PSKY

Shareholder vote PASSED April 23. Comp package rejected on advisory vote — doesn't block close. California AG investigation remains the primary live risk.

Equity value
$77.0bn
Premium
147%
Est. close Jul 15, 2026$31.00 / sh